Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 201.393579 235.158286 274.462098 323.994853 385.319406 459.500382 5.571739e+02
2025-07-20 164.792835 209.213654 266.853258 348.776916 465.014034 628.536522 8.845914e+02
2025-07-27 138.575211 185.731330 251.476866 352.996813 511.910132 762.608218 1.214166e+03
2025-08-03 122.470997 171.317533 243.450725 362.718893 565.761543 920.471890 1.649158e+03
2025-08-10 108.578068 157.094268 232.107158 363.280609 602.965334 1060.731650 2.121796e+03
2025-08-17 98.709728 147.133259 225.134780 368.675772 648.900112 1232.243548 2.760278e+03
2025-08-24 89.507336 136.751130 215.507197 366.880961 679.959411 1384.220730 3.454198e+03
2025-08-31 82.149639 128.336327 207.769401 366.710736 713.857552 1555.830551 4.337752e+03
2025-09-07 76.773847 122.543604 203.684010 372.623216 762.455177 1784.794968 5.620864e+03
2025-09-14 69.263705 112.154113 189.756081 355.759400 753.684975 1856.801471 6.405066e+03
2025-09-21 64.756397 106.633650 184.244867 355.710365 786.126585 2064.258779 8.016079e+03
2025-09-28 61.115648 102.294098 180.421755 358.621734 827.181351 2320.960002 1.025702e+04
2025-10-05 59.546567 102.076355 185.608129 385.454400 949.593900 2962.076123 1.632655e+04
2025-10-12 58.138627 102.070509 191.420884 415.945446 1099.107418 3858.107036 2.786016e+04
2025-10-19 54.796490 97.835459 187.567920 421.192582 1172.608667 4511.779253 4.101247e+04
2025-10-26 52.308489 95.024652 186.402343 433.343038 1276.340496 5443.701465 6.567080e+04
2025-11-02 49.311331 90.827205 181.490157 434.045656 1339.950258 6248.969062 9.877526e+04
2025-11-09 46.984310 87.793312 178.856569 440.797993 1431.854320 7382.534834 1.633750e+05
2025-11-16 44.366711 83.871588 173.586077 438.551034 1486.874025 8367.643150 2.569797e+05
2025-11-23 42.103912 80.508731 169.250577 438.337960 1552.361896 9580.391132 4.334933e+05
2025-11-30 40.416232 78.258832 167.393465 445.742158 1659.097826 11422.433237 8.787587e+05
2025-12-07 37.536557 73.083258 157.517333 424.642368 1616.330293 11706.669850 1.190478e+06
2025-12-14 35.847296 70.485018 154.014075 424.581101 1683.926711 13421.108037 2.489163e+06